Halloween
US Halloween buying ends around 20 October; with 30–45 days at sea, FOB by early June is safe.
Christmas
Black Friday inventory should land by late October; FOB by mid-August.
Easter and Valentine's
Smaller seasons but strong for pastel and heart shapes; order 3–4 months ahead.
Back to school
Fidget-trading demand peaks in September; FOB by June.
Source: U.S. CPSC recall notices of 3 Sept 2026 and 16 CFR 1250.4 (Federal Register, 12 Dec 2025).